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History To Repeat Itself With PS3?
Posted by
Zonk
on Fri Nov 10, 2006 04:06 PM
from the kutaragi-hopes-so dept.
from the kutaragi-hopes-so dept.
Dr. Eggman writes to mention a 1up article looking at the way things were when the PS2 launched vs. next week's PlayStation 3 launch. The question: can history repeat itself? From the article: "PS2: Released one year after the lower priced Dreamcast, lauded for its great games, ease of development, and superior online service. PS3: Releasing one year after the lower priced Xbox 360, lauded for its great games, ease of development, and superior online service. PS2: Competition from Nintendo: A smaller, cheaper 'family friendly' console with a 'focus on gameplay.' PS3: Competition from Nintendo: A smaller, cheaper 'family friendly' console with a 'focus on gameplay.'" The article also looks at how things have changed for Sony since the last time around.
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History To Repeat Itself With PS3?
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The Other side of the coin (Score:5, Informative)
(Last Journal: Monday June 12 2006, @11:18PM)
For me it's all about the price
Re:The Other side of the coin (Score:4, Funny)
(http://www.digitalplight.com/ | Last Journal: Thursday September 27, @10:26AM)
$600 doesn't leave much room for any games
Of course, Sony not having many launch titles (Oblivion, I'm looking at you) means you don't need any games for your $600 videogame system!
Re:The Other side of the coin (Score:4, Insightful)
Re:The Other side of the coin (Score:4, Insightful)
You have a valid point, but in this case, both the Wii and the PS3 look like gourmet products. I think kids would appreciate any 3 of the systems, as long as they get a few games too. $600 doesn't leave much room for any games, but $250 certainly does.
You'd think that, but the other way of thinking would be, if you're going to spend $600 you'll damned sure buy some games for it! It's also effective market segmentation - restricted supply at the beginning with a high price tag, followed by increased supply and lower prices later.
I think what happened is they saw what went down with the Xbox 360. They see every unit being scraped up and sold on Ebay for between $600 and $1000. Sony probably figures if anyone is going to profit from the craze, it's going to be them. And if they have the sorts of supply problems that has plagued nearly every console launch in the history of mankind, demand WILL drive the price there anyway. No sense in watching someone else make the money instead.
Re:The Other side of the coin (Score:5, Insightful)
(http://www.creimer.ws/ | Last Journal: Friday January 26 2007, @12:40PM)
Re:The Other side of the coin (Score:5, Interesting)
(http://www.intelligentblogger.com/ | Last Journal: Monday August 27, @11:47AM)
PS3: You're not getting one. Ha!
Wii: Risky, but inexpensive.
XBox: Just fork over the cash for instant gratification.
I think that says a lot about the mainstream views on this generation of console.
The article can be read online here:
http://www.usatoday.com/tech/gaming/2006-11-09-co
That's not the real reason (Score:5, Insightful)
The PS3 is a cheap Blu-Ray player, but Blu-Ray is by no means established. Instead of using the DVD to launch the PS2, they're trying to do the reverse: using the PS3 to launch Blu-Ray. I don't think that will work nearly as well. In fact, I expect it to fail miserably.
Playing DVDs on the PS2 is very nice! (Score:5, Funny)
(http://1-4-4.home.comcast.net/ | Last Journal: Wednesday March 01 2006, @03:16PM)
DISC READ ERROR
Re:That's not the real reason (Score:4, Interesting)
(http://www.phillyshreds.com/)
i agree that the PS3 does not have the same bonus appeal. DVDs were so much better than VHS, the jump to the new formats does not seem to have the same upgrade feel. if you dropped the money on a HD flat panel TV etc etc and care that much to upgrade all your movies.... the cost issue is probably insignificant.
i agree that this is going to be the opposite effect..... people will now just happen to have a Blu-Ray compatible player so they may start buying some movies on that format (if there is some special edition or something). i have a feeling the quality issues won't be enough at this point, for this audience at least.
$300 a "very cheap" DVD player in 2000?! (Score:4, Informative)
The DVD player contributed it, but it is by far the "real" reason it was so successful.
summary: (Score:3, Funny)
same games, better graphics, pay us again
Simple Answers to Slashdot Questions (Score:5, Funny)
No.
This has been another episode of Simple Answers to Slashdot Questions.
Re:summary: (Score:5, Interesting)
(http://thoughthead.com/)
- A unified online profile that contains all of your stats and setting across all of your games
- The ability to access and modify that profile online bringing your console presence to the PC
- An online feedback system that links to your unified profile that allows you to avoid or prefer players allowing you to keep playing others you enjoy playing with and avoid others you don't enjoy playing with
- The ability to access a set of controls with the touch of a button at any time allowing you to adjust various console and profile settings, adjust custom soundtracks, send and receive messages, view information about your profile and the profiles of the gamers you're playing against, etc.
- The ability to set your preferred controls... axis inversion etc. and have it be used for every game
- The "TrueSkill [microsoft.com]" skill raking algorithm for match making online with people at your skill level
- "Custom Soundtracks" that allow you to easily replace the in-game music with music from from a storage device, an iPod, or a networked computer
- Achievements which add replay value to games by suggesting goals and setting challenges that a gamer might not otherwise attempt
- Gamerscore derived from achievement that creates a sort of Meta-game that encompasses all games on their console
- The Xbox Live Arcade (which was started with the Xbox 1) for downloadable games and content delivery directly to the console
Some of these ideas start on the Xbox 1, and PC but have been really fleshed out and turned into really solid, beneficial and most importanly universal features. None of these have been done on other consoles to my knowledge.Online support? (Score:3, Insightful)
(Last Journal: Friday October 26, @08:30PM)
History doesn't repeat itself... (Score:5, Insightful)
The PS3 might still dominate, but it's not likely to be for the exact same reasons as in the past.
TW
Repeating history? I hope not.. (Score:5, Informative)
Ease of what? (Score:2)
(http://mr-writing-person.blogspot.com/)
The article also compares "the average price for PS2 on ebay [sic] in November 2000" with "the price for the higher end PS3 when it releases in November 2006." Stock eBay vs. high-end retail price? And this is supposed to be a formula?
Wrong? (Score:1, Insightful)
(http://www.gcnaddict.com/)
Really? Great games? Not at launch.
ease of development? One reason why it has barely any launch titles is because it's so hard to develop for the console. Superior online service? Does it even have an online service?
No, I'm not anyone's fanboy. I still want to play MGS4.
Re:Wrong? (Score:5, Insightful)
"PS3: Releasing one year after the lower priced Xbox 360, [with the Xbox360 being] lauded for its great games, ease of development, and superior online service."
Re:Online service? Don't forget to get the update! (Score:5, Funny)
(http://www.livejournal.com/users/control_group)
Reputation (Score:1)
(http://hideout.extra.hu/)
Sony doesn't much care how they compare to Xbox... (Score:5, Insightful)
The PS2 sold 105million units. Let's say the PS3 is a disaster - how bad could it be? 50million? 25million?
Those are all Blu-ray devices. At least an installed base of 25million Blu-ray players sold in a few years time. Versus how many HD-DVD players? How can HD-DVD compete with that kind of a headstart?
Owning the next-gen DVD format is the prize here. HD-DVD is only 33% ahead of Blu-ray today, before the PS3 even hits the market. I think that's more precious to Sony than losing a bit of ground to Microsoft. Maybe they calculated on losing gaming market share this time round.
Re:Sony doesn't much care how they compare to Xbox (Score:4, Interesting)
Easily. HD-DVD has the letters "DVD" in it. That has an immediate meaning in the average consumer's head: It's like DVD, but now it's in HD! Just like how a HD-TV is like a TV but in HD!
HD-DVD, regardless of how well it actually performs, has an immediate name recognition. The name "Blu-ray" really doesn't convey any meaning to the average Joe Blow -- unless s/he already did the homework. It doesn't exactly scream, "This is better than DVD!"
History To Repeat Itself? (Score:5, Funny)
(http://www.parallelrealities.co.uk/)
1. The naysayers will say that it'll suck
2. It'll sell beyond expectations
3. The naysayers deny the first statement and claim they knew all along
Ease of development... really? (Score:1)
The PS2 is not known as a easy system for development and most developer's interview about PS3 projects has some lines about them telling PS3 is a very difficult system to develop for (mainly because you can't get very strong performance from the CELL CPU without extensive experience of multicore architecture, which is not very common in IT nowadays and even less in the game development world imho).
Also about the competition from Nintendo line, smaller, cheaper 'family friendly' console with a 'focus on gameplay was not much more than a marketing argument, with Wii I guess they pretty much achieved to meet the marketing promise.
The 2nd page tells the real story (Score:1)
History's not repeating (Score:5, Informative)
PS3: Competition from Nintendo: A smaller, cheaper 'family friendly' console with a 'focus on gameplay.' released concurrently with the PS3."
Fixed your article. Where's my co-author credit?
Re:History's not repeating (Score:4, Interesting)
In Europe, Wii is getting released Before Christmas, PS3 is getting released After Christmas, which I'd guess will be hugely important. That said, from what I hear from my contacts in the school playground (which is to say my little sister) the DS Lite is the must-have Christmas gift this year...
No great games, difficult development, unproven OL (Score:1)
(http://jchapman.org)
Last line in the article (Score:2)
Who said this?
seriously, I don't remember anyone saying they WANT Sony to fail, most comments I have seen have been a desire to see all 3 systems do well, for a more open and competative game market....
any one?
link highly apreciated.
It's the price, stupid. (Score:3, Insightful)
No console with a launch price higher than $300 (at the time of launch) has ever been a success.
No console with a launch price higher than $400 (adjusted for inflation to 2006 dollars) has been a success since prior to The Crash of 1982.
Sony took a huge risk in pricing their new console so far outside of the historical comfort zone for price, and I don't think the outlook for them is good at all. I only wonder what derisive name will ultimately be attached to their failure:
P$3?
PS3DO?
PS3O-GEO?
Sega Issues (Score:5, Interesting)
Who writes these, 12 year olds? (Score:3, Funny)
(http://inoshiro.com/)
The past tense of cost is cost. You sound like a retard or an elementary school child when you write it in a "real" article. This is the first line, too! Do they not hire editors at 1up?
Its not the same (Score:3, Insightful)
So when Sega rushed the dreamcast out to be the first of the new generation systems, people were hesitant about buying another sega product. Some people only used the Saturn as a stop-gap till the PS2 came out. The hype of the PS2 helped kill the dreamcast but it wasn't the only factor.
This time around PS3 is competing with Xbox360. Unlike Saturn the Xbox has proven itself as a strong system, and in many ways better then PS2.
Except it's a horrid thing to see. (Score:2)
Even worse people jumped on board the ps2 for two reasons. A. It was the only system worth buying, (Sorry dream cast) the only system with a great legacy. B. It had GTA. C. It played your PS2 games and only costed 300 dollars.
Sony can pretend this is all good because it's the same, but Ps2's early launch saved them. PSX not really having competition for CD based systems saved them. However the 360 has an HD-DVD player now. Gamers won't care about blu-ray games unless they can see a real difference (they can't) Blu-ray might win, but the Ps3 is in a bad place.
Most of the points they made are scary because they are so bad for the system even while 1up is making it sound good. No one wants to buy a PS2... at least not for 600 bucks. People want to buy a PS3, they want a new system, and as much as tilt control sounds interesting, Nintendo has that for 250 and games completely built around it. And as much as better graphics sounds good, Microsoft has that for 300 or 400 (400 if you're smart). What exactly am I getting for 600 bucks? A cell processor that won't even reach full potential for 4 generations? A hyped machine? A paper weight with out an online network?
The 360 has the best position currently, and even in japan people are looking forward to blue dragon (more than zelda? How did Microsoft do that one?)
Dupe (Score:1)
(http://www.glacialwanderer.blogspot.com/)
fake mastercard add (Score:1)
I say, who cares what the price is! its going to be the best Game Console to hit the market for a long time. so you might as well get one, or else go over to a friends house and play it!
What is this hokey non-sense (Score:3, Insightful)
vs.
How is that a valid comparison? I wonder if the author is aware that the PS3's are going for up to $5000 on ebay right now. And there's also that gem about PS2's having DVD functionality:
From what I recall, DVD's were already kicking ass when PS2 came out. In fact, many people bought a PS2 because they liked the DVD functionality.
One Major Comparison Left Out (Score:4, Insightful)
(http://www.fontosaurus.com/ | Last Journal: Tuesday February 17 2004, @09:37AM)
PS3: Released in the middle of a shitty economy when a large number of twentysomethings have less money, more bills, and enough to worry about that a $700 game console isn't in the cards.
Consoles (Score:2)
1) The Wii. The controller sells the console. It is the ONLY difference worth mentioning in this crop of game consoles. I think this will sweep the market.
2) The X-Box 360. Not because it's any better than the PS3. The PS3 and X-Box may as well come off the same assembly line, but the X-Box 360 is cheaper than the PS3.
3) This will be almost entirely limited to hard core gamers who have more money than sense. I expect Sony to bleed heavily on this until the PS3 is discontinued. The BluRay player will help this anchor sink fast.
Ease of Development on PS2/3??? (Score:2, Insightful)
European law? (Score:1)
(http://quadrocket.co.uk/)
It was a British judge that made this ruling. Can a British judge make this ruling on behalf of the whole European Union?
Why are people here rooting for Microsoft? (Score:2)
Microsoft is an even bigger threat because they are a hell of a lot smarter than Sony. Sony may be evil, but they're incompetent enough to make mistakes which allows competition to come back in. Microsoft, on the other hand, is very good at closing the door shut.
If you're going to buy a console based on the good of the industry and ethical reasons, choose the Wii first, then PS3, then the XBox 360.
In terms of value, yes $600 is expensive for a console, but the base is $500, which is only $100 more than the Xbox 360's premium version. For the $100, you get greater storage capacity in the games (bigger games), a next-generation media player, free online play, no power brick, less noise, more potential, linux capability, motion sensing, among other things. The only thing you lose is rumble, an unproven online system, and few games (currently).
Linux capability proved to be the clincher for me, but the other features may be enough to convince people to shell an additional $100 to buy a PS3. And when you think about it, $100 is less than the price of a couple games...people who can't afford the PS3 are more likely to get a Wii than an Xbox 360. It's people who want great graphics, and can't wait for the PS3 to be in stock that are the ones that will buy an Xbox 360, which I assume will include a fair number of people this holiday season.
They're not quite right (Score:1)
There's another reason why things are different than last time:
Microsoft
Simply put, the PS2 trounced the Dreamcast and the PS3 will probably trounce the Wii. Unfortunately, however, for both contenders, Microsoft got there first. And not by just 10 minutes. No, they've been in the market for a year. They've had a year to gather / buy as many devs as they can to get their title portfolio up (hint #1: Fancy graphics don't sell consoles - games sell consoles. Good games) and they have done pretty well.
Yes, the PS3 will be good, but so is the Xbox 360. And its live service has had a year to get lots of lovely customer tied into it. (hint #2: people are lazy and will stick to what they have) And it's had a year of tweaking, fettling and patching to make it robust. Sony have still got to go through that pain.
In short, the PS3 will not flop (too many people will want the latest thing no matter what and the home market loves Sony) but it will slide into a solid second place and, to be honest, may never leave there. And if they do fail to knock Microsoft back off the top slot, I doubt we'll see a PS4...
OUCH! "Xbox 360 update killed my system" (Score:2)
http://forums.xbox.com/7765866/ShowPost.aspx [xbox.com]
And if this REALLY is only less than 1% of users, man alot of those "less than 1%" got online to report this. Notice how many pages/posts in such a short time. Maybe all of the "less than 1%" are active members of this particular forum. Right, "less than 1%".
LoB
wrong comparison (Score:2)
(http://www.drewandkim.com/)
Microsoft released the more advanced (and substantially more expensive to manufacture) Xbox a year after the PS2. By that time the PS2 had already sold millions of units and was a well established platform with dozens of top selling games. In comparison, the majority of the initial XBox titles were unimpressive. Most people who bought an Xbox early on bought it for one or two games and spent most of their time and money on the PS2 they had already bought, or on their PC. Microsoft had to practically give the things away to stay competitive with the PS2, and they were bleeding money the whole time. It wasn't until almost two years after launch that the game lineup for the Xbox was on par with the PS2, which by the way, is about how long it was before Microsoft had a single profitable quarter selling the Xbox.
Sounds a little more familiar, doesn't it? Sure, the Xbox was (eventually) a wild success in terms of units sold, but can Sony really afford that kind of success?
um, what? (Score:1)
Price predictions (Score:3, Insightful)
The Xbox was released on November 15, 2001 at a price of $299 and it was reduced in price to $199 on May 15, 2002.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/PlayStation_2 [wikipedia.org]The PS2 was released on October 26, 2000 at a price of $299 and it was reduced in price to $199 on May 14, 2002.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gamecube [wikipedia.org]The Gamecube was released on November 18, 2001 at a price of $199 and it was reduced in price to $149 on May 13, 2002.
My guess is that in May, the Xbox 360 Core version will be dropped and the premium version will be reduced to $299. The PS3 will be reduced to $399/$499 and the Wii will be reduced to $199. It may come down to one company cutting their price and the others following.
Microsoft earns over $10 billion a year in profit, while Sony and Nintendo make about $1 billion each every year. Microsoft has been making the Xbox 360 for over a year, significantly cutting manufacturing costs.
The one game that has been reviewed on both the PS3 and the Xbox 360 is Tony Hawk Project 8. There are two major problems with the PS3 version: lack of online support and frame rate issues. The frame rate issues are a huge problem for Sony. If someone is paying a premium price, they expect a premium product. If the PS3 version of games is inferior to the Xbox 360 version, I don't see why anyone would want to purchase a PS3. Luckily for Sony, it probably just means that people are having a difficult time developing for the platform.
Japan Launch (Score:1)
Females Overlooked? (Score:1)
I think a couple things play into this:
1. PS3 and 360 hype FPS, War and violent games... the wii focuses on gameplay and characters
2. Price... most females are not going to spend the extra money for a PS3 or 360.
Lastly and most important:
Gameplay interface. Females traditionally do not want to sit and learn a controller and all its buttons to play some FPS game. Changing the input or gameplay interface is attracting more females. This has been shown to be true for the Nintendo DS.
Thoughts?
Another historical metaphor (Score:2)
(http://nonservium.blogspot.com/ | Last Journal: Wednesday March 07 2007, @04:15AM)
The nintendo thingy... (Score:1)
(http://www.edu.lahti.fi/~aaspinen | Last Journal: Monday March 12 2007, @08:01PM)
There is small things like these that will twist the market. Although Nintendo didn't make up in last round as a winner there is extremely good chance that it will do so now. Xbox360 is last console here to represent us more traditional alike gaming console. Wii and PS3 are more advanced boxes with exactly opposite approaches on gaming at home. While XBox seems to be something in between, I think it is going to be loser in end game.
Ease of development? (Score:3, Insightful)
(http://www.seebs.net/)
I am a big fan of the Cell (I've done some writing about it and played a bit with the sim), but I can't imagine calling it "easy".
All I'm saying... (Score:1)
(http://127.0.0.1/)
Sorry, Sony (Score:1)
(http://vixenk.net/)
I bought a PS2 because it played DVDs too (Score:2)
That said, I won't buy another. I've had way too many disc read errors watching movies, especially discs rented from Blockbuster.
$600 for a PS3? See, this is what kills me about the "hardcore" gamers. These guys will drop insane amounts of cash just so game that's not really fun has more shading textures and slighty more blingy 3d effects than you had $1000 before.
I'll be getting a Wii for cheap and having more fun than you, with enough cash left over to buy a 30 pack of Natty Light all for myself.
Re:They forgot: (Score:2)
Re:They forgot: (Score:1)
(Last Journal: Friday February 17 2006, @06:59AM)
Crash and burn motherfucker.
Re:7th gen? 7th yawn. My grumpy old perspective (Score:2)
(Last Journal: Thursday May 22 2003, @08:06PM)
Compared to your Atari 400, which was useful technology for decades.</sarcasm>
How many players per PC? (Score:2)
(http://myatomic.com/ | Last Journal: Sunday November 19 2006, @12:31AM)
But how many players per machine? Consoles tend to have four-player party games such as Bomberman, Gauntlet, Smash Bros., and the like, which put four characters, each controlled by one player, into one arena displayed on one sufficiently large TV. Can you put four keyboards and four mice on a PC, or do you have to buy four PCs and four monitors if the four people in a single house or at a family reunion want to play with one another?