The 360's Position in the Next-Gen War 287
An anonymous reader wrote to mention a great article on the Elite Bastards site looking at the Xbox 360's positioning in the next-gen market. In the first of a three part article series, the author looks at the lessons Microsoft learned from its first hardware outing, and what he feels the company's strategy will be in the near future. From the article: "Clearly my impression of the Xbox 360 is that it is positioned to compete significantly better in the next gen console race than its predecessor. The difference this time around is that although Microsoft will no longer have the decidedly most powerful console, they also won't have the most expensive console, and believe me, they will compete on price. The Xbox 360s media (DVD) and input device (gamepad) are safe choices and the CPU may be merely adequate, but the GPU is quite potent and should go far in keeping Microsoft's box in the same league as Sony's overall despite the disparity in time to market."
My Take (Score:5, Insightful)
The Launch: Microsoft did a decent job hyping the system, but the launch was, on balance, weak. You had your brief hysteria of $5,000 systems on eBay, but it died down fairly quickly. You had serious supply issues--to the point where it hurt more than helped. You had the whole power supply issue. You had decent games, but no "killer title" that made you want to go out and get it.
Today: The games are still pretty pedestrian--the operative word is "prettier", which will only get you so far. Now that the insanity of the launch period has passed, there isn't much about the XBox 360 that appeals to the average consumer--it's expensive, it has decent games but nothing "must-have", and finally, it's expensive. $350 for the system and $50-60 games is simply too expensive for the casual gamer.
Tomorrow: As Thanksgiving approaches, I'm willing to bet that the 360 hits hard times. Unless they can come up with a bigger hit than Halo, all the chatter is going to be about the Revolution. Nintendo is going to have the luxury of not needing killer games at launch; the new user interface alone will likely drive sales, and if they can put out a few decent games that take advantage of this, they'll be set.
Basically, to your average consumer, there's little reason to get an XBox 360 right now. It's a big enough investment that most people won't consider it as an impulse buy, and it's enough like the last generation of consoles that it won't generate enough interest--again, this is unless they can get a truly must-have game out before, say, September.
The 360's position in the next-gen war is that of the gung-ho kid who vaults out of the trench and bursts ahead of the rest of the charge: he's out front right now and will bask in glory if he can survive--but he's also the first target to come in range.
Or, from another angle: Sony and Microsoft are working hard to field the finest cavalry regiments ever seen on a field of battle. Nintendo is working hard on building a tank.
Re:My Take (Score:2, Insightful)
What new systems are going to sell below that on launch? And I seem to remember paying upwards of $75 for Sega Genesis games, I don't think $50 or $60 is unreasonable.
~S
Re:My Take (Score:5, Informative)
And I don't remember ANY SNES/Genesis games costing over $60. The vast majority released at $50.
Re:My Take (Score:2)
Re:My Take (Score:2)
Re:My Take (Score:4, Insightful)
I suspect that those who were willing to pay $50 for the latest games a year ago will be willing to pay $60 now. Those of us who are more money-conscious aren't paying fifty dollars for a game anyway; we wait a year for them to drop to twenty.
Re:My Take (Score:2)
Intellivision and Colecovision were in the upper $100 to $200 and those games were $30 to $50.
I seem to remember that is was SNES, Genesis where the ames broke the $60 mark but they also warrant that in terms of artistic qualit
Re:My Take (Score:2)
There, fixed it for you
How can you say that the SNES was close to identical to the Arcade version, when the main attractive that game had were the blood and the fatalities, which were absent from the SNES version?
The Sega Genesis version was much closer to the original, same thing with MK2, MK3 and Street Fighter Champion Edition and SUPER Street Fighter II
Re:My Take (Score:2)
Granted the First Mortal Kombat for SNES was bloodless (there was a stupid game genie code that changes the sweat red... they claimed that was a blood code... yeah right), but the 2nd and 3rd games in the series were just as bloody as their arcade counterparts, and given the relative superiority of the SNES hardware over the Genesis (they were called mega-drives h
Re:My Take (Score:2)
Re:My Take (Score:2)
Oooh, Star Control on the Genesis. It cost $69.99, but it was sooo worth it. That game was a masterpiece.
Re:My Take (Score:2)
Neo Geo games were $200, and the console was $600. It priced itself out of the market.
Re:My Take (Score:2)
Re:My Take (Score:2)
SNES retail was 40$ for "budget" titles, 55-60 for everything else, 65-70 for certain Big games. The "bargin bin" level was 20-35$.
Re:My Take (Score:2)
If we don't buy the corporate line, we won't have to pay the higher price. $50/game is plenty enough for people to make money on.
Re:My Take (Score:2, Insightful)
Except for that whole downloadable library of games from earlier Nintendo systems. That's a pretty big library. But I suppose those games are too primitive for your sophisticated HD tastes.
Re:My Take (Score:2)
Re:My Take (Score:4, Informative)
NES: $199 ($353)
SMS: $199 ($340)
SNES: $199 ($280)
Genesis: $249 ($388)
Saturn: $399 ($496)
PS1: $299 ($372)
N64: $199 ($241)
DC: $199 ($230)
PS2: $299 ($332)
XBox: $299 ($324)
GC: $199 ($299)
First number is launch price, second is launch price adjusted for inflation (USD in 2005). "Winner" in bold.
The XBox 360 comes in at the high end, price-wise; the "real" system launched at $399, which means that only the Sega Saturn was more expensive at launch, in adjusted dollars.
What this does not show is the relative technological leap between console generations. The leap between the current next-gen and their predecessors is much, much narrower than was the leap between earlier iterations. You don't look at side-by-side screenshots of XBox and XBox 360 games and go, "Holy shit, that's amazing!" like you did when you first saw the SNES...
And I seem to remember paying upwards of $75 for Sega Genesis games, I don't think $50 or $60 is unreasonable.
As I recall, $75 games were the exception, not the rule. Remember, too, that Nintendo won that round--and I'm reasonably certain that their games tended to be less expensive than Sega's games.
Re:My Take (Score:2)
Re:My Take (Score:2)
Re:My Take (Score:2)
Re:My Take (Score:2)
Re:My Take (Score:2)
I think one of the most interesting things being said, or rather not said, is that the PS3 and Revolution will have to perform at a high level to beat the
Re:My Take (Score:5, Interesting)
I think they have a very strong opportunity to expand the number of females who are buying and regularly playing console games.
Nintendo needs something like The Sims or some female friendly game that makes good use of the innovative controller. Reaching out to women is how they can really blow-out the X-Box.
Re:My Take (Score:5, Insightful)
Sony and MS seem to be missing the really big picture here, and that's that there is a HUGE untapped market that's going to be emergeing - everyone ELSE. My wife likes to play various games, but is quite dismayed at the fact that very very little seems to appeal to females at all. When you're talking about kids, family-oriented stuff, WOMEN, and possibly other segmants not considered - that adds up to a huge potential MS has already over-looked, and Sony will probably gloss over as well.
Re:My Take (Score:2, Insightful)
I've heard quite a few cases of guys that bought a 360, showed their wife the arcade games... and found themselves having to wait to get on the console. So they're getting the market for the casual women gamers that way.
(Of course, the serious female gamers don't need those sorts of games, though we do play them. I'm much more interested in other games - DOA4,
Re:My Take (Score:2)
Re:My Take (Score:2)
But I don't think that's happened in the US yet. I think Nintendo's problem is that they still have that kid-friendly image attached to their name. It's a double-edge sword. Parents associate Nintendo as being safe for their kids. They think of brands like Mario, Zelda, Metroi
Re:My Take (Score:2)
Re:My Take (Score:2)
Perhaps, but I've never had much interest in console games (I like strategy and sometimes RPG), and I'm planning to buy a Revolution. That will be my first console ever, and I turn 30 in June.
Where the Girls Are (Score:2)
I tend to agree. It's actually for that reason alone that I'm not willing to count out Nintendo, even tho I sold my shares in them, as every market study i've seen in the Wall Street Journal says that this is going to be an exploding game sector (women and girls).
For some reason, I tend to like a lot of the same games that many
The safe bet in gaming, isn't (Score:2)
The problem is that "being safe" in gaming usually means delivering an experience a lot like everyone else's experiences. But this really is a hit-driven industry, and so far Microsoft's only homer is Xbox Live.
Nintendo is pushing the bounds of immersion. It might be the next 2D to 3D revolution, or the next Virtual Boy. We'll see. The PS3 might be a slightly more powerful X360 with 10x the storage, but that storage capacity w
Re:My Take (Score:3, Interesting)
The Launch: Microsoft did a decent job hyping the system, but the launch was, on balance, weak. You had your brief hysteria of $5,000 systems on eBay, but it died down fairly quickly. You had serious supply issues--to the point where it hurt more than helped. You had the whole power supply issue. You had decent games, but no "killer title" that made you want to go out and get it.
Today: The games are still pretty pedestrian--the operative word is "prettier", which will only get you so far. Now that the ins
Re:My Take (Score:2)
Think about it. Even hardcore gamers would get one as a second system, and parents would be MUCH more likely to get one than a $300 Xbox or PS3.
Re: The Machine (Score:2)
Sure, but I believe Microsoft will find a way to loose money on the 360 anyway. In the Desktop OS market, they made money because they could out-pirate the cutthroat businessmen. They made most of their profits with corporate tactics.
In the gaming market, they will loose money, because it is even more consumer-driven than the entertainment industry. They will try to kill off innovative games on other platforms, try to tie people to Xbox Live with restrictive licensing, and try
Re: The Machine (Score:2, Insightful)
Microsoft doesn't really have much control over other platforms, you know. Aside from purchasing development houses (which they've done twice in the past five years. How many developers have EA, Take Two, or Ubi purchased since then?), they have no way to stop developers from making innovative games on other platforms. All they can do is try to get developers to make innovative games on their platform, and they have a perfect opportunity to
Re:My Take (Score:5, Insightful)
The simple truth here is that of the three major console producers, only one of them seems poised to do something beyond "what we did last time plus five years". It is my honest opinion that Nintendo will come out on top this round because they're willing to take a sizeable risk, while the other two are playing it safe--and "safe" isn't going to be exciting enough to justify the historically high price tags.
What they conveniently overlook is Nintendo's lack of HD support is going to be awful for them.
I think you are vastly overestimating the importance of HD to the average consumer. The people who really care about HD have already purchased their XBox 360. Remember that many, many people still jack their current-gen systems in with a freakin' coax line, despite the availability of composite and S-Video on the TV they already own..
Then again, perhaps I expect too much from an individual who posts:
"Even if they don't have such a TV, families will walk into the store next Christmas season and see PS3, X-Box, and Nintendo screens side by side in demo areas, and next to the other two, the Nintendo will look like something from a 1980s arcade machine."
"the Revolution will have.... what? A "para para" game to take advantage of the new interface, and maybe a puppy simulator? Wow. That will still be dazzling people ten months from now, eh?" (emphasis mine)
Which of the two of us has a bone to pick, here?
Re:My Take (Score:2)
Re:My Take (Score:2, Funny)
Lots of TVs don't have composite or S-Video. I have two TVs. One only has coax and the other one only has 2 sets of two little screws labeled "VHF" and "UHF".
Re:My Take (Score:2)
Obviously not true.
I care about HD, and I haven't already purchased one yet. I find it hard to believe I'm all that unique.
I *will* most likely purchase a next-gen console for my HD system within the next year, but I do not know if it will be a PS3 or an X-Box 360. The one thing I do know is: it won't be a "low-def" Nintendo.
Re:My Take (Score:5, Interesting)
Its an interesting gamble by Nintendo. But, although marketshare dynamics are important, they didn't only consider the marketshare of HD.
HD is a performance drain.
HD textures require lots of memory, HD video requires lots of disk space, HD rendering is like quadruple the number of pixels that have to be computed.
That has several side effects - it raises the cost of the hardware, as you need more memory, faster gpus, etc - as well as imposes longer level load times and other annoyances.
And they predict that most people won't even benefit from it - at least during the lifecycle of this generation of consoles.
Even if they don't have such a TV, families will walk into the store next Christmas season and see PS3, X-Box, and Nintendo screens side by side in demo areas, and next to the other two, the Nintendo will look like something from a 1980s arcade machine.
Hardly. At the local Electrnics boutiques, BestBuys, Future Shops, and Circuit Cities these "demo screens" are mounted into mini 'arcade' stands between game racks and tend to be a whopping 15" sdtv, so any "hd-ness" will be invisible.
Sure there is usually a 40"+ plasma with a console hooked up to it for some feature game from the console with the highest margin, but that isn't putting the 3 systems 'side-by-side'. But even there the revolution will support 480p (progressive scan), and so there is no reason it can't look as good as DVD, which stands up quite well as compared to hdtv. (Indeed I have DVDs that look better than much of the 'hdtv' that comes in over the air - due to compression.
So what families will really see when they walk in at Christmas is that the Nintendo is almost half the price (meaning they can get their kid something in addition to the Nintendo that year). And that 'half price'-ness comes in significant part because they skipped HD this go around.
I'm not sure if it was the "right" move. Only time will tell, but its nothing like the ridiculous 1980's arcade game comparison you portray. Its DVD quality picture at half the price of xbox360.
Meanwhile, the 360 will have a year's worth of new games to show off, the PS3 will have its usual stable of Sony exclusives, and the Revolution will have.... what?
Precisely. The Revolution has the potential to give us something truly new. We don't know *what* the games are going to be and that's half the point. Though of course we can expect representation from their iconic franchises -- mario, zelda, metroid, etc.
The gaming market is now big enough to handle three major players. Probably more.
The market maybe, store shelves, not so much.
There's only room for "one winner" at the retailers... one will be up front, featured on the big plasma, with a good selection of games prominently displayed and the others will be available but comparatively marginalized to varying degrees, with less shelf space and less game and accessory selection.
All three consoles are probably going to end up making lots and lots of money.
Microsoft will have to stop losing money on the xbox before I'll buy into 'making lots and lots' of it.
The only people who care about a "winner" between the three consoles are drooling fanboys of one platform or another.
Agreed.
Re:My Take (Score:2)
I was just in Best Buy this afternoon. The X-Box 360 demo box was hooked up to a 50" widescreen HDTV with surround sound.
Would you like anything to go with that crow?
Re:My Take (Score:2, Interesting)
And? This sounds exactly like what I said there would be.
Would you like anything to go with that crow?
What crow!? Did you even READ my post or did you stop as soon as you saw what you quoted, because the VERY next paragraph to the one you quoted said:
Sure there is usually a 40"+ plasma with a console hooked up to it for some feature game from the console with the highest margin, but that
Re:My Take (Score:2)
Then again, so is color. Why not just make it black and white?
1) Because you can see the difference between color and monochrome even on a 2.5" gameboy screen. Meanwhile 480p and 720p/1080i are impossible to tell apart until you compare them on a 40" HDTV or better, and even then its pretty minor -- hardly "night vs day" like "color vs monochrome".
2) Because the incremental cost and performance drain of color on todays hardware is effectively zero. That is, in fact, what Nintendo is predic
Re:My Take (Score:2)
Re:My Take (Score:2)
Downloaded it onto my computer, and streamed it to the 360. Looked great. Ended up watching an episode I would have missed.
That, and viewing my pictures on my HD TV...or streaming music to my games.
Yes, those things are important to me. (Not in a cosmic/life/love way, but only in a 'choosing a game console' way.)
Well, duh! (Score:2, Insightful)
So far, going no better in Japan (Score:5, Informative)
(*) See bottom of: http://www.m-create.com/jpn/s_ranking.html [m-create.com]
Re:So far, going no better in Japan (Score:2)
Re:So far, going no better in Japan (Score:5, Informative)
But there are several Japanese RPGs in development, most notably those by Mistwalker Studios [gamespot.com] (headed by a former Square-Enix producer). I think the 360 in Japan is really going to depend on the quality of these first games. If they aren't that that good, then yeah, the 360 in Japan is going to continue to flounder. But, if they turn out to be pretty decent, then I would imagine the 360 is going to do better. Also, we still have to see what Square-Enix decides to do with the platform. Somehow I doubt FFXI is going to be the only game released for the 360.
That said, I've looked at the previews for one of the first Japanese RPGs (Enchant Arm [gamespot.com]), and it doesn't look that hot to me. I'm a big fan of Japanese RPGs (most Squeenix titles, Xenosaga, Disgaea, etc.), so I guess I'm a target audience.
Christ Hironbu?!?! (Score:2)
Re:Christ Hironbu?!?! (Score:2)
Personally, FFVII was the only FF game I skipped (well, FFXI too, but I almost don't count that since it's an MMO), and I wasn't a fan of the Final Fantasy movie. Thus, I'm hesitant on saying Sakaguchi's studio is going to be the saviour for Japanese support on the 360. But it's still better than the lack of support for the first Xbox. (Most
Actually, he created the entire series (Score:2)
I knew i was forgetting something about him. I can't believe they lost THE man. God with the xenogears guys gone, hironobu sakaguchi (father of the final fantasy series) gone wtf does squenix have left?
Final fantasy 9 remake?!!??!
Many explanations (Score:2)
Actually, there are many possible reasons that the 360 might not be popular in Japan. Given that the original X-Box was also unpopular, we can assume it's something that isn't specific to one particular model, but rather encompasses the whole brand. Perhaps gamers there are more aware of Microsoft's use of money to worm their way into
Re:So far, going no better in Japan (Score:2)
Now there were a few HORRIBLE role-playing games made for the original Xbox launch, like Azurik and Nightcaster. But I believe those were made internally in MGS, and they were actually released whereas they should have been axed. *shudder*
Th
Xbox Japanese launch campaign. (Score:2, Interesting)
Yeah, here's why I think they're positioned better (Score:5, Insightful)
Could that be because the Xbox360 actually exists, and isn't just an idea. Does PS3 even have a launch date yet? People keep saying this and that about PS3, but Microsoft actually anticipated their existing product's shelf life accurately, and planned for it. I have been dying for some of the stuff the xbox 360 does, like HD gaming, a consistent online experience, and OEM wireless that comes with the system. Sure, xbox has issues, namely a lot of bugs made it through. But since I'm online they're patched pretty quickly and things are working out pretty well.
I'll take HD gaming now versus something that doesn't have a launch date yet.
Re:Yeah, here's why I think they're positioned bet (Score:2, Insightful)
Sony has the position now of being able to sit down and say anything they want about the PS3.
Re:Yeah, here's why I think they're positioned bet (Score:2, Insightful)
I really don't understand where you get this idea. All of those things you listed are available for the Xbox today (HD, online gaming with Xbox Live, and even wireless). Most gamers would agree that the Xbox still has at least a good year or two left in it. I imagine that most Xbox developers would say that there's still a lot of potential in the machine that's unused. Microsoft even admits that they did a preemptive launch
Re:Yeah, here's why I think they're positioned bet (Score:2)
Re:Yeah, here's why I think they're positioned bet (Score:2, Funny)
Re:Yeah, here's why I think they're positioned bet (Score:2)
Can't prove it by me; I've been on a waiting list since before release.
Re:Yeah, here's why I think they're positioned bet (Score:2)
If you're still on a waiting list, you're being ripped-off.
Re:Yeah, here's why I think they're positioned bet (Score:2)
I find that pretty laughable... (Score:2)
It's as balanced as Killer Instinct. You must act first becuase combos are difficult to stop or break. And it has a bug that wipes out your save games!
Calling it perfect is laughable.
I was VERY disappointed in DOA4. It's the worst game I have for 360, and I own Kameo!
Re:Yeah, here's why I think they're positioned bet (Score:2)
Things that are in development for much longer than they were planned to be normally have major problems. Not saying that these games are always going to be bad but saying that games and consoles are only delayed for extra polishing time is disingenuous.
I think more of this depends on Sony... (Score:4, Insightful)
Having said that, I think your opinion of what's going to happen in this console race depends on your opinion of Sony. If you think they're gonna have a great launch with tons of titles lined up and in great shape and lots of available consoles and on time this year, then you have to think they're gonna cream Microsoft's anemic launch. If you think Sony is gonna be in the same boat as the 360 with even more complicated components and an even tighter release schedule that might get pushed back, then you probably think it'll be a pretty even battle with maybe a slight edge going either way.
Personally, my bet is that Sony runs into the same problems Microsoft did. I think they sell more consoles, but by then the 360 has a decent amount of games and it's a fairly even race for a year or two till the 360 fades about 6 months earlier than the PS3 does. Then we get the next next gen, and so on, and so on.
That CD rootkit is going to bite Sony (Score:4, Interesting)
Since the rootkit got so much attention, victims will remember it when the PS3 comes out.
Oh come on... (Score:2, Interesting)
Get realistic... (Score:5, Insightful)
Re:Get realistic... (Score:2, Funny)
Re:Beee...caaaause... (Score:2)
Second, the Windows -> Xbox market has a lot less overlap than music -> PS3
Early Launch (Score:3, Insightful)
Re:Early Launch vs Good Games (Score:2)
Now, there is some truth in that.
I bought the xBox version of Lego Star Wars and Sims 2 - both multi-platform - because the graphics are better for the xBox version than the GameCube.
But, overall, I've bought way more GameCube games, cause they're just plain more fun! And, in the end, that matters more.
Re:Early Launch (Score:2, Insightful)
As it turns out, as much as I hate load times, a lousy, stiff, horribly inaccurate controller is an even bigger annoyance. The 360 controller is leaps and fucking bounds above the original Xbox controller, but if the PS3 or Rev have better control yet, then I won't be getting my cross platform games
The games make the console (Score:4, Insightful)
Personally, I hope that the new power of Next-gen consoles will let game developers explore new ideas in games, an area mostly limited to PCs due to processing power and licensing issues, such as the groundbreaking Garry's Mod [garry.tv], a physics-based sandbox in which you can build mechanical contraptions, vehicles, etc, and make them really work. Hopefully the revamped systems should give game makers room to forge new genres.
Re:The games make the console (Score:2)
So far, all I've seen is stuff that's cross-platform, so I can't get excited by xBox360. And all I hear about for the 360 is pretty boring. yet more FPS, yet more racing, nothing that makes fun.
Until they come out with GTA:Cascadia or GT5:Emerald City (the Seattle versions), I'm not buying yet another cross-platform.
I wouldn't be surprised if sony is 'rallying' (Score:2, Insightful)
Development Tools (Score:5, Insightful)
Re:Development Tools (Score:2)
Re:Development Tools (Score:2)
Re:MOD PARENT UP (Score:2, Interesting)
1. At turn the RESET gets pulled active low (or high, depending on the logic used).
2. Microprocessor loads IP with RESET vector
3. BIOS boots
4. CD/whatever runs
In PC architecture, an operating system goes between 3 and 4. When you put a disc in, it runs between the game/app and the hardware, and the program has to interact with the operating system instead of the h
The awful truth (Score:5, Insightful)
So far, the PS3 has been nothing but a smoke and mirrors show. The reason being, Sony needed to do something to blunt the 360 announcement long before the PS3 hardware was ready, so they sent the FUD machine into overdrive and spat out the same drivel they did when trying to kill off the Dreamcast. Not surprisingly, people lapped it right up, despite the previews being little more than mockups and "real time demos" rendered at 1FPS prior to the show and sped up. I'm not saying the PS3 is going to be a disappointment, nor am I saying that it will be comparable to, or lightyears beyond the 360 or Revolution. We simply know far too little substantive information about its capabilities and exactly what its game library will look like.
The Revolution was being heralded as the only good console of this generation - even before there was a single feature announced. Other than the controller and the back-catalog being rereleased for it, we have seen nothing of what it can do or what it will bring to the table.
Let's have this conversation in a few months, after E3.
View from a disinterested observer (Score:4, Insightful)
Xbox 360
Pro: Out first, never discount the advantage of getting on shelves first.
Fairly solid design, nothing too daring.
Massive marketing push
Con: Fairly solid design, nothing too daring.
Early mover advantage all but negated by supply issues, Xmas '05 was a bust.
Only a DVD Drive
PS3
Pro: Backward compatibility with PS2 and PS1.
Proven ability to churn out titles appealing to key 16-24yo male demographic.
BlueRay, especially if it wins in the broader next gen DVD war.
Con: Late arrival
???: Cell. If it can be harnessed it will be a major plus, otherwise another Itanic fiasco.
Revolution
Pro: Widest range of software covering the most catagories.
Con: From teh prelim info available it appears to be woefully underpowered.
???: New input system is a total wildcard much like Cell.
I'd say Nintendo will survive this round simply because it will mostly be fighting for ground not coveted by the other two contenders. If the new input system permits new catagories of gaming the others can't port it could gain major ground.
However there really isn't room for both Xbox and the Playstation since they both target the same demographic and neither is likely to be able to slide into the media center/tivo market with their current generation hardware.
If Xbox suffers another lackluster second place finish to Sony it will be hard to convince the instituitional investors who hold vast quantities of Microsoft stock in pension plans to piss away billions more on a third try. Sony on the other hand can probably afford to lose a round and come back with another try so while the pressure is on Sony to deliver a knockout and end the war they probably can better survive a loss while for Microsoft it is probably "win or go home" time. Expect them to realize that and play for keeps, slashing prices at the first hint of erosion in sales, knowing this brief period before PS3 & Revolution launch is their best opportunity to lock in customers.
Re:View from a disinterested observer (Score:2)
Don't really care all that much myself. However based on trends going back a decade now it is fairly safe to assume Nintendo will quickly build a broad and deep catalog while Sony will focus on the male teen/young adult demographic again, as will Microsoft.
Because Xbox didn't sell much in Japan and neither does the 360 appear to be, Sony will have the advantage of having most independent Japanese development houses on the
Re:View from a disinterested observer (Score:2, Redundant)
Me neither, but the severe shortages undermined the first to market advantage without doubt. Yes a lot of boxes will be sold between now and PS3 launch but we all know the magic of the "Golden Quarter" and they could have sold a lot more boxes had they been able to supply them.
> If the PS3 debuts in June at $400, it was a horrible launch...
No, if Sony pulls that off they probably win right there. But I'd agree the
MS screwed em selves over launching too soon... (Score:2, Insightful)
In order to get this signicifantly earlier (than the other next-gen consoles) launch date, they had no choi
My opinion on the Xbox 360 (Score:3, Insightful)
I was expecting to have more titles available, and it sucks to see long periods of time seperating release dates for the new games. Actually, the only game I'm looking forward to is Burnout that comes out in March. Sure you can play old Xbox games, but I want to play games in full HD.
For MS's sake they should put out more titles soon, because the PS3 will dominate if the Xbox 360 game selection still sucks like it does now.
Now that I think of it, the cause for this bad game selection is probably because of all the nonsense that companies require to make modern games. I mean shit, a symphony orchestra is needed for the sounds. Maybe if the SDK/MS licensing was cheaper, developers that aren't as rich as EA can afford to make/sell games too.
Xbox 360's position at retail (Score:2)
Sony/MS win, consumers lose. (Score:2, Interesting)
Let's face it, regardless of what Microsoft does, Sony is going to make piles of money off of the PS3, simply because they've got the brand. Most likely, Microsoft will be raking in similar piles of money this generation because they got their product out first. As long as there are console-exclusive Halos and GTAs out there to keep the casual gamers playing, neither console is going anywhere.
But that's not what concerns me.
Ok, lets take a new perspective (Score:2, Insightful)
You dont factor winners by how strong a launch they have. But you do factor losers. If they dont sell (we're looking at you Gizmondo and those sidetalkers) then you have problems. If you sell them as fast as you can make them, well no prob, make more, move on.
Long ter
Here we go again (Score:2)
In reality, nobody knows where the console market is going. The meat of the buyers will be those who thought one commercial or advertising campaign was better than the other. Much like how Sony was able to
Re:Who are they kidding? (Score:5, Interesting)
As much as that sounds like a troll, I'd have to agree with you. I use to be a loyal follower of Sony - basically for no other reason than I figured that they made superior products, and you'd pay a bit more for them but it was worth it. But two things have annoyed me significantly to arrange my own little boycott (and I know this is true for many others):
Sony BMG.
the whole rootkit fiasco
Sony Hardware
-but more significantly, they make disposable crap. My minidisc player just died because of the blankdisc error [minidisc.ch] - an inevitable ribbon cable snap (which everyone will require eventually) due to opening/closing 'too many times'. An almost $400 'walkman' inevitably requiring a $100 fixed rate repair a few years later. The new mp3 walkman don't have backlit screens (what happens at night?), and they're bigger than cheaper 3rd party ones.
Linux:
Their hardware is unlikely to ever support my os, because (perhaps because they're a giant popular corporation) they like to keep it all closed up.
They definitely aren't the company I perceived them as (many are realising this) - I hope they get what they deserve for treating consumers like dirt. But they'll still rule the hardware market I figure (because of history, and the perception than paying more means better products).
Re:Who are they kidding? (Score:2, Informative)
Also, the ps3 will be running, apparently, a version of linux, as server-focused cell applications will be primarily linux based.
Has everyone forgotten?
Re:Who are they kidding? (Score:2)
Re:Who are they kidding? (Score:2)
Re:I don't know why (Score:2, Insightful)
Games do.
And the PS2 did "blow the doors off the xbox."
Sony made billions on PS2. Microsoft lost billions on Xbox.
Re:I don't know why (Score:2)
Re:I don't know why (Score:2)
Umm, no one said that, because the Xbox didn't come out until a year and a half after the PlayStation2. When the PlayStation2 came out, the Xbox was just a twinkle in Bill Gates' eye.
Re:X-Box 360: Great Console looking for Great Titl (Score:2, Insightful)