Elite Won't Replace Premium or Core Skus 158
As the day has progressed, more information about the 'Elite' has become available. GamesIndustry.biz is reporting that the other two 360 skus will still be available. The Elite is not replacing either of them. Interestingly, there's no word on a price drop for them either. Major Nelson's most recent podcast has several interviews and details about the new offering, which you may find informative. There's more analysis available, if you find that interesting: CVG wonders aloud who is going to buy this thing, while a Wedbush Morgan analyst mentioned to GamesIndustry.biz that he thinks this validates the PS3 strategy. "'It appears to me that Microsoft sees the writing on the wall - Blu-ray is going to win the format wars ... Ultimately, Microsoft will likely offer a Blu-ray drive with the 360 Elite, and I think consumers will be able to select based solely upon other drivers.' Pachter also believes that although the Xbox 360 Elite will register with early adopters of hi-def content, the current 20GB model will still be sufficient for many consumers."
If I don't care about HDMI... (Score:2, Insightful)
What the fuck is with SKU? It's a product. (Score:5, Insightful)
PS3 Advantage (Score:5, Insightful)
If the PS3 survives its games will end up looking a lot more impressive than 360 games of the same vintage.
Why? (Score:5, Insightful)
Releasing a console with built-in HD-DVD would be interesting. Though there are potential reasons to avoid this.
1) Price being too close to the PS3, in some ways validating it.
2) No guarantee of success and thus subsidizing of the HD-DVD drive.
But that said, decided not to include an HD-DVD drive pratically makes the whole thing a wash. Without the HD-DVD drive, all we have is a more expensive premium console that has a larger hard drive, HDMI hookups, and is black.
Without any truly tangible benefit, it shrinks the extremely important price difference between the consoles. My points 1 and 2 above apply in almost the exact same way.
1) Price too close the the PS3, in some ways validating it.
2) Lack of backing of HD-DVD can be seen as implying a lack of confidence in the medium.
The whole thing seems ill-conceived. If they didn't want to release a console with an built-in HD-DVD drive, they could have simply upgraded live and announced a new, larger hard drive alone and perhaps a black case mod for the first 1000 buyers. A whole new SKU for this is a ridiculous waste of resources, while at the same time killing several key talking points for the 360.
Blu-Ray (Score:5, Insightful)
It appears to me that Microsoft is acknowledging the format wars are stillborn. Their support for HD-DVD was just about defusing the PS3 anyway, not defeating Blu-Ray. MS already has their license fees secured, regardless of how the little-plastic disc formats fare.
The media victory Microsoft is after, is digital delivery.
Prices (Score:5, Insightful)
That "validation" of the PS3 strategy by way of price is a bit misleading, though. Sony equates the PS3 to fine equipment whose price indicates its value. But it's a genuinely expensive device to make. What the PS3 price points have proven to the people who figure out the prices of consoles is that consoles have been too cheap and the market could sustain them at higher prices than previously thought.
Other very expensive consoles have gone down in flames for home use... but the median price for the majority of consoles at the market at any given time has been a $200 - $250 sweet spot. The only thing that Microsoft and Sony have done is show that the sweet spot can be coaxed higher.
What I don't understand is why Microsoft isn't playing a price war yet. They've got the biggest userbase for this generation, most established games (excluding Wii's ability to play Gamecube games), and they're turning a profit on current consoles sold. Sony's machine costs $800 and putting pressure on them to lower a price point could hasten any future demise... if it's in the cards.
My only stab at trying to understand is that Microsoft eventually wants to buy the Sony gaming division, but I'll be the first to suggest that's an outrageous claim. Hmmm...
Re:PS3 Advantage (Score:3, Insightful)
Re:Disappointed (Score:3, Insightful)
I don't totally disagree with what you're saying, but just another perspective.
It appears to me that..... (Score:3, Insightful)
The pricing virtually eliminates premium sales. No one is going to pay $400 for the premium w/ 20GB instead of $480 for the elite w/ 120GB when the 120GB drive is sold separately for $200. Now there's actually a choice for the consumer at the $500 price point. Do I buy the 360 with the larger hard drive or buy the 20GB PS3 and have a Blu-Ray player?
Leave it to Microsoft to make the $600 PS3 look like a good deal. $480 + $100 WiFi + $200 HD-DVD = $780.
Re:Why? (Score:3, Insightful)
When I was 10 I did just that. I bought a Sega Genesis because it meant I could get two games right off the bat instead of just one.
Would I do that now? No, but I still was a gamer then and only had allowance money to work with, $100 was a big deal.
Not to mention that a higher price and another SKU only serve to alienate the non-gamers and casuals further.
Re:PS3 Advantage (Score:2, Insightful)
BluRay disk prices for developers are a few cents more vs DVDs. BluRay disks are much cheaper than multiple DVDs. Publishers and developers HATE multi-disc titles. Needlessly eats into profits - take a million selling game multiply the cost of a second DVD(or even worse third) and you are throwing away a huge chunk of profits.
GameCube games last gen for the most part had developers just chopping out features or music and audio to fit on the smaller GC discs.
The 360 actually has LESS space than the Xbox did last gen and developers have already bumped up against the ~8 gigs of storage space. There are four to seven or so more years to go in this generation. Just think of how small a CD or two CDs are today for a game.
As storage space increases so does the cost of generating content go down at a fairly similar rate. Computers get faster, memory gets larger so the size of models and worlds that artists can generate get larger and the tools for working with larger art continues to improve.
MS if fucked on the storage front. There is no other way to put it.
Does it really matter? (Score:4, Insightful)
I mean really, you can tell me for instance that the PS3 will do everything from clean my laundry to wash my car but at the end of the day it doesn't have my Gears of War. It doesn't have my Crackdown. There's no Forza Motorsport. There's no XBLA. To top it off it's also a lot cheaper for me to get to play a large library (and ever-growing...just check out upcoming releases like The Darkness, Bioshock, and others) of great games that look spectacular with a superb online system. Can I play Blu-Ray movies? No, but then, did I really want to buy a game system to play movies?
It's part of the same reason the Wii is selling. It's cheap, it plays good games, and nobody gives a fuck if it can't wipe your butt for you, too. So what does this new 360 do? Who does it cater to? People that feel they have to have the "extra shiny" version of a console to feel superior to other people. The other people are those interested in the Marketplace for downloading things which means there isn't a value comparison with the PS3 since the PS3 doesn't have access to the Marketplace...the very source of content the interested users wanted in the first place. The rest of us just get the Premium and rock on because it lets us play our games which is what WE wanted in the first place.
There will be a true features/price comparison between the 360 and PS3 when the PS3 has a large library of awesome games (and for the cross-platform ones like DMC4, VF5, and others it's going to need to be worth coughing up several hundred dollars for a better experience or we're still going to get them on the cheaper system that gives the same or better experience) that make it worthwhile to have for playing games.
Anyone seriously interested in a media server has probably already gotten an Apple product or some other personal computer solution since they tend to be better at it overall. This is all for show and to cater to an elitist (though not necessarily "elite") portion of the interested 360 population, not to the rest of us who buy game systems for playing games.
Re:Why? (Score:5, Insightful)
From an article I originally posted here:http://vgecon.blogspot.com/2007/03/purpose-o
There are two alternatives to this. First, you could set a single price; but this is a gamble. If you price too high you will lose sales to people who valued the product less. If you price too low, you lose profit margins from people who would have been willing to pay more. The other alternative is to still set your product at multiple price points but vary each version slightly. An excellent example of a company that uses this tactic is Starbucks. A regular coffee at Starbucks is only around $1.60; but a double foam mocha latte... whatever can cost you upwards of $4.00. In truth, both products cost Starbucks approximately the same amount of money to make. Price sensitive customers will choose the regular coffee, and people who are willing to pay more may spring for the more extravagant drink.
This is what Microsoft is doing with the Xbox 360. Sure, the Premium costs Microsoft more to make than the Core, and the Elite costs them more then the Premium; but it's less than most people think. Microsoft may still be losing money on the Core, but they're probably breaking even on the Premium at this point. At $479, the Elite might even turn a small profit.
Some people have pointed out that the new price tag erases Microsoft's price advantage over the $500 PS3. From a marketing perspective, it may seem that way. From an economics perspective though, things are still very different. The key point is that Microsoft is going to be ready for a price cut far sooner than Sony will be. Before the Elite, a price cut would have meant that they would have to sacrifice any profits from people who were still willing to pay top dollar for a system. A new high end model allows them to maintain their position in the $400 range, while extending their market by dropping the low end of their price range.
I am no marketing expert, so I can't really say what the effects will be there. Economically though, this is a smart move by Microsoft.
Re:Repeated disc swapping (Score:2, Insightful)
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Star_Ocean:_Till_the
Re:PS3 Advantage (Score:3, Insightful)
And how much larger is Oblivion than its predecessor? How much larger is Oblivion if you tossed in Shivering Isles? Could Bethesda even produce a 360 "Gold Edition" of Oblivion with all the expansions tossed in? If they can it must be getting pretty tight. Did you know that Elder Scrolls III: Morrowind fit on a CD? What a pointless argument it would have been when Morrowind appeared to claim no other game needs more than a CDs worth of space. What a pointless argument it is today when a quick trip to a torrent site will show that 360 games are already close to the DVD-9 limit.
Are you freaking kidding me? I'm not talking about edges I'm not talking "which is better" I'm talking, we ran simulations of streaming and in every test the PS3 drive is SLOWER. This has been confirmed by almost every report out there.
No it hasn't. I've seen comparative studies which say the opposite, that since the BD drive has a constant data rate it is sometimes faster and sometimes slower than DVD drives, but overall the transfer rate is comparable. The difference however is so slight that it makes no odds, especially when the PS3 has the BD capacity to repeat data (thus making it faster because seek times are lower), and even a hard disk that any game can use as a cache or for preloading data.
As you mentioned Oblivion, duplicated data is an obvious way to speed it up. Assuming you have the space. The game uses enormous archives (think .zip files) containing all the meshes and textures within the game. Meshes are in one file, textures in another, sound in another etc. So to load a scene means hopping from one archive to another, extracting the data, all of which incurs a seek penalty. Rearranging the data in the way it is most commonly used could have a marked impact on load times. Assuming the disk has the space to do this, and possibly not something which might be afforded when you're stuck with DVD-9. For example, Oblivion players spend a lot of time hopping in and out of houses, so it would make sense to duplicate all the house models and textures and put them in their own file as well as in the general archives so they get loaded without all the seeking. And caching common textures on the hard disk too of course.
Yeah potential. Potential gets you nothing in the real world., when you can't use all 8 cores. The PS3 is an amazing crunching machine, it's built for Folding at home, but for game programming it's not the best machine, especially if you're looking at something like an open world game, the Ps3 just isn't built around branching paths.
Yes potential. Do you think a new console should have its potential realised in its first released titles? What a silly thing to say. Developers get better, SDKs get better, code gets written that can be incrementally improved. I know there will be a lot of dross for the system (and lots of lazy 360 ports), but there will also be plenty of games which optimise for the Cell or use APIs like Havok or Unreal Engine which have been optimised for them. Games like Resistance and Motorstorm show quite clearly that the potential is there.
I guess our company completely sucks then. Except we don't, the system itself has a huge amount of problems (and no we arn't the only ones), whether it's the fact that out of the 6 active cores, one's dedicated to graphics card, and another 4 only has access to 128 megs of that 512 megs or ram (before you have to start doing DMA calls, which anyone should tell you will kill your frame rate). Yeah the cell programming is easy, if you make a game specifically designed for the cell processor. We are game programmers, we make games on platf