Xbox 360 To Profit Next Year, Says Bach 132
An anonymous reader writes "Robbie Bach, president of Microsoft's entertainment and devices division, has stated he expects the company's console business to finally break even some time in 2008. After years of losses from the games division, this would be a significant breakthrough for Microsoft's efforts in the games industry. '"Xbox is the hardest piece of consumer electronics hardware to produce in the world, no debate," he said, admitting that "costs are a little higher than we'd like." Microsoft doesn't expect to make a profit on hardware alone, but "we'll probably be gross margin neutral on that over the life cycle of the product, and try to break even on that."'"
Disapointing (Score:3, Insightful)
I understand the loss leader strategy, but it seems a little insane that a company has to wait several years before they can start making money on a product.
Re:Disapointing (Score:5, Insightful)
Short-term Wall Street thinking wouldn't have allowed this. They'd say the XBox division was running a loss for 12 quarters straight and demand they stop the cash drain.
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Long term vision is not what I would call the XBox or XBox 360 ... A vision does not take 7 years to finally break even on a yearly basis after you have lost $6 Billion. As far as a return on investmet, the XBox brand may finally break even as a whole after 10
Of course, everyone wants instant gratification (Score:2, Insightful)
First off, your numbers are off. The classic xbox launched 11/01. Work may have started earlier but you don't earn sales until the product comes out. Profitability is expected in 06/08, not 11/11. So you are off by 3.5 years when you say it took them "10 years" to make a profit.
Also, the last stat I saw said an estimated 5 billion lost, not 6 billion. Finally, the hardware is now making a prof
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How much has the xbox hurt the M$ pc games division. Not only has it lost money but it is also causing other divisions to loose money. Does the xbox account for a licence fee of the windows operating system, or has that been written off as well. When they are talking about being in profit, is that overall or is that just for that year and overall they will still
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Yeah, that's great, but what about 15 years down the road? Or 20? In 20 years, who knows if Windows will still be the cash cow
Re:Disapointing (Score:5, Informative)
And hasn't their X-Box Live been profitable from the start?
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Long term vision is not what I would call the XBox or XBox 360 ... A vision does not take 7
years to finally break even on a yearly basis
would you say Amazon.com has no vision? Amazon.com was launched in 1995 and did not post a quarterly profit until 2003. http://news.com.com/2100-1017-819688.html [com.com] Sometimes making money right away isnt the most important aspect of becoming a strong player in a market.
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"Yeah, Xbox 360 might have better graphics than Wii and PS 3 but, uh,
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That said, it's unlikely Microsoft would abandon XBox even if it didn't make a profit next year or even the year after. It's there simply to be in the market. The justification is likely the same as Windows: get enough people familiar with the platform and nobody will even consider the alternatives.
The statement is nothing more than to pacify the shareholders on the recently news that Mi
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As if I, as a consumer, give a rat's ass what the Xbox costs Microsoft to make... that's their problem, not mine.
it becomes your problem when you have a significant library of games and nothing to play it on because Microsoft decides to stop losing money and gets out of the console business. I'm not making a prediction, just pointing out that a companies profitability is important to the consumer.
Yeah, Xbox 360 might have better graphics than Wii and PS 3 but, uh, ... uh... Microsoft doesn't make a profit!
Allow me to fix this for your "Yeah, XBox 360 might have better graphics than Wii and about the same as the PS 3 but, un ... uh... Microsoft nor Sony make a profit on their current console sales."
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Holy shit, MS rigged their Xboxes and 360s to self-destruct if they ever got out of the console business?
They didn't have to, the tend to fail on their own with out self destruction, like all consumer electronics do eventually. To problem comes in when you have to find a replacement for your broken one. Or when the next generation comes out and you don't have ANY backward compatibility since MS stopped making consoles. It's still all hypothetical, but their success in the market certain effects their consumers.
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Seriously, call 1-800-4MY-XBOX, they'll tell you if there is cause for concern (and they'll swap it out if so).
I'm on my fifth one already... Previous 4 died (and anyone who knows me knows I take extreme care of my stuff). I'm starting to believe the "self-destruct" conspiracy...
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If you decided to outsource manufacturing to the the lowest bidder, who is fulfilling your order with slave labor..do you honestly think you'd be caring about quality?
If so, you're deluded. If not, then what makes you think they care any more than you do?
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I have returned 3 of them, and my current box is making strange fan noises.
I think the 360 is an awesome game system, but the hardware failures are killing me. The fact that the Elite wasn't the die-shrink was a little disappointing. And the failure rate must be killing Microsoft. I figure they have spent at least $50 just on the shipping of my boxes alone.
I will say that the last experience I had with their support was fantastic. They have a very quick and easy self-help phone tree...no, it
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Thats how shoddy the soldering work is, you've got to cut costs somewhere!
Arguably part of that is due to the use of ROHS compliant (lead-free) solder.
Many of the Red ring of death cases from the earlier batches of Xbox360s were also because of this.
Resoldering the processor back yourself is likely not an option for most saner people, you're best off giving them a call and sending it in. (don't send in
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Actually, yes, they have. Or what do you expect to happen with XBoxLive when Microsoft leaves the console business. It lost sure won't stop your console from booting, but a large part of the experience will be lost.
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Well actually...Xbox 360s have IBM's eFuse technology http://www.globalmanufacture.net/home/communities/ informationtechnology/techIBM.cfmM/url>
So yes, they could very well self destruct when they exit the console business if they chose. There are numerous hacks to bypass eFuse now, and presently when you upgrade the firmware on your 360 you will not be able to revert to an earlier version, because th
So really... (Score:4, Interesting)
I wonder if MS and Sony are learning anything from this... Not to say that breaking even would be a major financial loss to (especially) Microsoft, but are they really concerned one way or another about this?
Re:So really... (Score:4, Informative)
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I'm calling it a fluke. Judging from their last 2 consoles, N64, Gamecube..the innovation in Wii was part calculated risk and part sheer dumb luck instead of any revolutionary forward thinking.
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When it comes down to it, Nintendo doesn't have a fully realized gameplan for this generation yet. Online gaming is still a complete mystery to them and looks to remain that way
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I *like* my 360. I *like* the graphics, the sound, the HDness.
I *don't* want a Wii.
I would much rather have diversity in the market. Some people like the Wii, some people don't. If all of the companies followed the leader we would have a homogenous marketplace and I don't think we want that.
So... (Score:4, Funny)
As much as I hate Microsoft... (Score:5, Insightful)
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I agree on the Wii tip, but the PS3? There were shortages for about two weeks and then it began sitting on shelves. Lonely. Alone. With no one but a bunch of other PS3s to keep it company. Many people didn't even bother to come get their preorders!
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I don't think people looking for a Wii and what it brings would be ok picking up a 360 instead. Likewise, people in the market for a PS3 aren't going to be satisfied with a 360. People don't want "a video game system", they ask for systems by name.
Then again, maybe I should have asked a mall Santa Claus what the kids were exactly saying.
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I don't have any statistics, so use the appropriate amount of salt, but I both know people personally and even remember comments here on slashdot where numerous people have said that they purchased an Xbox 360 because they either couldn't find a Wii or couldn't afford a PS3. The Xbox 360 has been the winner of MANY purchases simply by default.
Is that the biggest reason? Hell no. The biggest reason is that they
Lessons (Score:5, Insightful)
As for profiting, good for them, but seriously, just keep delivering good games and people will buy your system. I don't own an Xbox 360 but there's a few games coming out this year (GTA, Halo, Mass Effect, Burnout) that have me considering. I've owned a Wii, and it was great, then the supply of games I was interested in fell off, so I sold it to my brother in law. I'll probably buy another when the games I want to play start coming, mostly just Smash Bros. at the moment.
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I think that in the future we're going to see the various manufacturers/developers taking different strategies. Sony is the only company I'm puzzled about. Microsoft has already demonstrated a willingness to spend enough money
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Fast and innovative.
It's not all that hard to imagine. The Wii itself isn't spectacular, it's main goal is being cost-effective with a small budget. It's the controller which is bringing the innovation and the controller has already been applied to various other applications.
No reason why there can't be a fast and innovative category. Nintendo could do it themselves if they want to expand in that direction. Nintendo said it plans to compete using innovation instead by performance benchmarks. Bu
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I suspect that Nintendo's next system WILL be fast. Maybe still slower than the competition, but closer than this one.
by definition, the same stuff with better execution isn't innovative. it's just another iteration.
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What I should have typed is "Innovation isn't the only benchmark for quality in gaming."
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Well, I agree with that. There are several metrics by one which can measure. Innovation is definitely ONE of them, because let's face it, while many of us (including me) do enjoy some of the tried-and-true, we're also often looking for a new experience.
We've pretty much gotten to the point where most games won't benefit from more impressive graphics, though. They could look more real, but it wouldn't improve the gamepl
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I think part of the problem Sony has hit here is that their competition isn't really the 360 or Wii. It's a PC, or an upgrade to an existing PC. Reasoning like: 'if I were to buy an Xbox instead of a PS3, what would I miss out on? If I instead spent the difference on getting a better video card and more memory in the new PC I'm going to buy anyway, what would I gain?'
Sony's b
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I'm not as sure. Nintendo's strategy is working so far, but I don't think either MS or Sony is likely to try and compete in the "fun" gaming category. (Read: budget category.) As a general rule margins are higher in the high-end regions (see: Dell v. Alienware) and I think the real problem is that MS and Sony have failed to really capture the excitement of gamers out there. I mean the hard, hard-core gamers (the ones who call the
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Yay for obnoxious Slashdot know-it-alls. You'd be one of the resident representatives of the anti-social branch of nerdom, right?
My example (Dell vs. Alienware) is actually factually true. The general rule that luxuries have a higher profit margin is also pretty well-established. The idea that high-end consoles will have higher margin in the future and that that is why Sony and MS are chasing that martket segment is obviously conjec
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[personal attack in kind just for having 'Mormon' in your user name omitted]
I'm quite aware of the tendency for high end products to have better margins. What I should have said is that your statement about better margins in the high end video game market is bad conjecture.
Clearly, Nintendo is doing a better business at the moment, and while there seems to be a certain amount of novelty wear off going on, they appear to have a very good position
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1/2 British.
[personal attack in kind just for having 'Mormon' in your user name omitted]
That, by the way, is the reason I still go by this ridiculous user name. I used it innocently back in 1999 (in my first foray onto msg boards) and was so overwhelmed by the number of anti-Mormon comments I got within minutes of my first post (that had nothing to do with religion or even politics) that I made up my mind that I would use the name from that tim
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And yet you said:
simply because you read my comment as narrowly as you possibly could. Do you use a ladder to get on that horse?
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2. There's a large difference between criticizing a person based on a statement they have made v.
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Is proclaiming membership in a religion a statement? Of course it is. But in order to draw negative inferences about the person based on that statement you have to condemn not only them, but their entire religion. I guess if you feel comfortable writing off entire religions i
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And if you think condemning the practice of aggressive proselytization is bigoted, then yes, I am a bigot. But condemning actual behaviors is not bigoted, so I'm not losing any sleep over it. I don't hate children that are born to Mormon parents, I don't hate Mormons for existing, I simply disagree with their practices(and from what I can tell, 'Mormon' is not a shades of gray designation, part of being a Mormon is following the dog
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However, I'm really not sure how a statement that was restricted to "I disagree with proselyting" would have any relevance to this discussion, and so I'm extremely skeptical that that is really the comment you ommitted. I suspec that "I disagree with proselyting" is nothing more than the rationale behind a
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And I probably would have come across as being actively hostile to proselytizing.
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So this has nothing to do with proselyting at all. You just think religion in general is too far-out to be true. Which, I think, gets us back in the direction of bias and bigotry.
As a religious person it's easy for me to understand a secular view point, an atheist viewpo
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I should specify that I didn't mean to imply there's anything special about theism that makes it superior to atheism in this regard. I mean that I happen to be a theist and I can appreciate theist, atheist, secular (which I distinguish from atheism in that it simply ignores God as opposed to outright claiming he doesn't exist), spiritualist (Buddhism, Wicca, and other non-materialist world views that lack a traditional God-figure) viewpoints. Just as an example: I have a very high
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Remember, the thing that got us here was you bucketing me as antisocial, I don't think I need to pass a relevance test.
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Because of your stance on proselyting. It's something that only makes sense to criticize wholsesale if you can't picture the position from the other point of view. If you look at it form the point of view of an evangelical - Mormon or otherwise - then they know something that you don't and it would be duplicitious for them to attempt to "love thy neighbor" and yet remain silent on the knowledge they believe they have.
Now you may find methods of
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Try to understand my point of view. If someone comes to my door to explain to me what they believe, I immediately assume t
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Well that's just your paranoia. There's no other word for it. Do you assume that every time you see a commercial for a Honda Accord that Honda thinks you prefer a Camry? It makes no rational sense to infer from the fact that someon is tellingy you x that they think you believe not x. From my own experience a lot of people have no opinion on on it, or are actively curious to
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We're still talking, aren't we? That aftermath.
And I never attacked you.
Oh please. Writing "I'm not going to call you a fat moron because that would be a personal attack" is a personal attack. Actually omitting an anti-Mormon comment would be one thing, writing "[anti-mormon attack ommitted here]" is the same as my "fat moron" example - just less explicit. That's exactly the kind of passive-agressive attack (like the Faux News barb above) that may help you
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Hardware Repairs (Score:5, Informative)
I do believe that the main problems are faulty DVD drives that result in a scratched disc due to a missing component in some of the drives by a certain manufacturer and either a solder point failing or some component on the motherboard becoming unseated after the board warps slightly due to cooling related issues. I don't know if the Elite solves any of these problems by adjustments to any of the components, but I'd like to think that as they transition to 65 nm chips, they'll solve some of these other issues as well.
I haven't seen any hard figures, but I'd have to say that based on what I've read, the Xbox 360 is running into some of the same problems that the PS2 had, namely cheap hardware that fails early in the products life cycle. The disc drive on my PS2 has recently started to go bad, but I've had it for several years, but if it had happened early on Sony wouldn't have covered it. At least Microsoft is providing some good customer service. I think that everyone could save some money, however, if they'd spend more time designing and testing the product to begin with and not buying the cheapest parts available.
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And, if your console's problem is not 'it doesn't work', they'll probably tell you that they won't replace or repair anything. The drive is going bad and sounds like a vacuum cleaner? It fails to rea
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There are 110 million PS2s out there and they have been running for the past seven years without reports of units dropping dead. Never have people reported problems with PS2s outside of DVD lasers that eventually got dirty or needed to have the focus adjusted with the nob inside the machine. It was not until the massive 360 defect problems started to become public that we suddenly starting hearing stories where, amazingly, 360 owners claimin
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I'd say Windows XX (yes, any of them) defect problems is a shameful and completely unprecedented aberration in the operating system market.
But what else could we expect from Microsoft after all ?
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They're going to be profitable because of everyone who has replaced one a time or three under warranty now having to buy new ones.
My second warranty replacement died last weekend. Now I'm out of warranty.
Worst part is, even if I buy a new one I have to beg them to refund my XBLA purchases so I can get them on the new box... or spend $100 buying them again, too.
Th
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I went through 3 PS2's and 2 PS1's in their lifespans, and I got in pretty late on the PS1. I wouldn't be suprised at all if the first batch of 360's didn't last more than two or three years average for even casual gamers. Hardcore gamers: expect to replace a few.
I don't even want to know what PS3 fail rates are go
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I've got another friend who got a 360 when it first came out. He hasn't had any problems (at least none that he's admitted to).
Just thought I'd share that.
Good news (Score:4, Interesting)
Microsoft has LOTS of money, and can afford to make long-term investments that are in the billions-of-dollars range. Keyword: investments; they are not just throwing money away here. Their business model seems to be working, so good for them. (As long as it means I get to play good games on my 360 ^_^ otherwise I don't care)
I wonder what position SONY is in... is SCE looking to break even on the PS3 at *any* point in the future? Maybe, maybe not... the money they've spent on marketing alone, coupled with the losses on each console... the PS2 is probably covering a lot of that but I doubt it's anywhere near all of it.
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Don't take what I said as a "dig" at SONY. The fact of the matter is, both Microsoft and SONY are fully capable of just saying "screw it we're bored of the gaming industry" and kill off that whole branch of business if they decided it's nothing more than a liability. SCE was something like $2 billion in the red at the end of the 2006 fiscal year. So, it's a genuine concern on my part. I believe SCE has more than
*MIGHT* break even (Score:2)
"Probably be gross margin neutral"
Unless, they have to lower hardware prices in response to pressure from a desparate Sony division.
Or sales continue to drop off, and not get picked up next christmas. Xbox had a GREAT christmas 2006 simply because PS3 and Wii were nowhere to be found -- next chris
Same Story For The Past Six Years (Score:2, Interesting)
The failure rate on Xbox 360s somewhere in the 30-40 percent range - and right from the latest quarterly report Microsoft indicates that having to extend the warranty period for current 360 owners and the cost of replacement units is a huge cost. The move to 65nm has been moved back to later this year and it remains to be seen if that will finally keep the 360s from failing. It has been a year an
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I seriously doubt that number.
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Plus they still don't have the simple matter of protecting a CD/DVD from getting scratched when one moves the console, something *every other* manufacturer has pretty much solved. Hell, I would move my Sega CD around while it was playing a CD looooooooong back in the days where optical disk-based consoles were new, and it never made a scratch on it the way the 360 does (it e
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You've seen 5 million reports? You've talked to the other 50% that have operational units? You think ANY company would have a defect rate that high and NOT stop production until it's fixed?
"And still people defend Microsoft. I don't get it."
And people still attack Microsoft sans-common sense. I don't get it.
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Well... I suppose you've got a point, depending on which way public opinion swings. Still, though, accusations of irrational zealotry can be combated with evidence or rationale that doesn't rely on characterizations of people/companies that only Warner Brothers would be suited to animate.
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Source?
"So 20-30 percent numbers I could see at the retail level. "
2-3 million people have blinking XBOXs? That means that somewhere around 2.5 million people have 1 year old machines that absolutely refuse to work, and the noise level about it is roughly the same as the PS2's defect rate within the first year of launch. Meanwhile, Microsoft has the most defective game console in history, but they're
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There are usually two camps those people fall into:
1) The "Microsoft is always teh winner!" crowd. These are the people who constantly say "LOL! Bill Gates will just buy out such and such company with pocket change" when things are going poorly for the latest attempt for Microsoft to branch out from their OS and office software monopolies. If if they think the Microsoft product sucks they still feel an emotional attachment to Microsoft as some sort of prox
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Yawn @ the blatant PS3 fanboy. (Score:5, Insightful)
- 30% - 40% failure rate of the XBox 360
- That failing elite units are a common occurance, more so than just the standard defect rate for any other electronic hardware
- That Bluray production prices have dropped "dramatically"
If you'd kept out the pro-Sony stuff, you could well have squeezed your pro-PS3, anti-MS troll post through, however the pro-Sony stuff is absolutely laughable, to suggest the PS3 has any chance at all of breaking even in the next few years - even if it starts selling is a complete joke. The fact that the PS3 loses far more per unit sold than the 360, and sells far less games per-unit as well as not making anything from it's online service demonstrates how utterly daft your claim is.
I'm not sure what you're on about when you suggest the 360 has extremely highly priced peripherals either, the 360 controllers are actually the cheapest out the lot, here in the UK a 360 wireless controller can be purchased for £19.99, a Wii-mote for £24.99 and a PS3 Sixaxis for £27.99. The 360 HD-DVD drive can be purchased with the premium console together for less than the PS3, in fact the only addon for the 360 that is rather extortionate is the wireless adapter which is a fair point.
XBox live is indeed pay for, congratulations on recognising that, but it's also a much better service, the term "you get what you pay for" really couldn't be more appropriate, pay nothing and get shite, pay something and get a decent service, seems like a fair compromise.
You do have some valid points, but unfortunately they're points that don't have anti-PS3 counter-arguments. It's not as if the PS3 is exactly default free when it also suffers overheating issues (which I'd argue is worse, at least MS' consoles outright fail so you can get them replaced, good luck getting an intermittently crashing PS3 replaced - you just have to live with it).
The irony of your closing statement is rather amusing, of all the players in this generation that are having to look at closing shop in the console business it is undoubtedly Sony, with the uncertainty as to whether they can turn a profit or even aquire a feasible userbase. Whilst Microsoft is starting to make money with the 360 and their general gaming division, Sony is beginning to lose it, and lose it fast.
Standalone Blu-Ray readers at $300 now (Score:2)
That Blu-Ray pressing costs have fallen is pretty obvious just from the number movies and games pressed - with greater numbers comes lower costs.
However we have evidence not only of cheaper disc production costs but also cheaper drives - Pioneer has announced a $299 external Blu-Ray drive (reader, DVD writer only). That's much cheaper than any external Blu-Ray drive sold to date. It's easy to imagine by next year even consumers could buy an externa
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Just like Linux desktop? (Score:2)
Maybe they are assuming they will break even when the Linux desktop dominates the market? Perhaps it's all planned: when Microsoft doesn't dominate desktop computers any more they will monopolize the gaming industry. </tongue in cheek>
Poor Microsoft! (Score:1)
Huh?? How's that?
Can somebody explain to me just what is so groundbreaking about the xBox that makes it so hard to produce?
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Re:Poor Microsoft! (Score:5, Funny)
Xbox live &c? (Score:2, Interesting)
Just in time for Duke Nukem Forever! (Score:1)
Good to know (Score:3, Funny)
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